did my change move anything?

no verdict

is what a gap gets when the arms are not comparable, whatever the arithmetic says

the number on its own answers nothing

Knowing you are named in eleven percent of answers tells you to do exactly nothing. The question with money attached to it is the next one. You changed a page, or earned a mention on somebody else’s, and you want to know whether the answers moved, by how much, and whether that gap is bigger than the model rerolling on its own.

That question needs a noise floor, and a noise floor needs draws. It is the one claim in this category that a single daily reading structurally cannot support, whatever the dashboard puts next to it.

two arms, paired, with the gap carrying its own interval

One round is collected with the source in the list the model was shown, one without, and the same questions run through both. The difference is paired prompt by prompt rather than taken between two averages, and it is reported with an interval of its own, because a gap between two uncertain numbers is more uncertain than either of them.

lulu ablate --live ROUND --replica ROUND --brand ornek --margin 5
lulu lift --live ROUND --held ROUND --dropped ROUND --brand ornek \
          --source https://b.example/list \
          --sources https://a.example/guide \
          --sources https://b.example/list \
          --sources https://c.example/review

the word lift is granted, never assumed

Without a passing gate the same arithmetic prints as an arm differenceand the command exits non-zero. The contrast is causal either way, since the list is yours and one thing moved, but what a gate buys is somewhere to carry that claim: with one, the levels are restated with the gate’s own margin added on top, because a laboratory rate quoted as a customer’s rate is uncertain twice over.

The source list is not taken on trust either. A replica round records the digest of the exact material it was shown, so the list you pass on the command line is checked against the evidence file, and a reordered list, a swapped pair of arms or an edited instruction is refused by name rather than measured.

what is not on this page yet

A measured lift. The figures this command is usually shown with come out of the suite’s fixtures, and every figure on this site comes off a round somebody paid for, so they are not printed here as though they were one. A lift round on this project’s own brand costs a few dollars and lands on this page when it is collected.

why a noise floor needs draws ± the verdicts it withholds